Many have asked about the “Roadmap to Recovery” project I participated in that won me a pass to Inman Connect last week in New York (so much twittering about it makes it hard to spell that out instead of simply saying #icny…). It was a great conference full of interesting information and some amazing real estate folks. You know who you are – keep it up!
For those interested, below are my rather inflammatory (to some) opinions about where real estate is/should be headed. It’s rather wordy, but if you like that sort of thing, read on:
1. Imagine how the real estate industry will be different when we recover from the current downturn.
I think that when we recover, and in fact as we recover, we’ll see a return to quality after years of mediocrity being rewarded simply because of the sheer volume of transactions. This will happen primarily because a more educated consumer base will demand better service from the industry and real estate agents in particular. Advances in technology and sites such as Zillow have driven traditional real estate brokerages to share more and more information via the internet. For many years, a part of the real estate agent’s perceived value was the possession and dissemination of raw data to the consumer. That same consumer now has the opportunity to find an abundance of information online before ever contacting an agent. This movement towards more information being available and more use of the internet will gain a great deal of momentum during the downturn, as people are more and more likely to research online before making any type of decision regarding real estate purchases or sales. They’re also more likely to research their agents online, meaning that the industry will become more and more dependent on the internet to thrive. These changes in consumer attitudes and behavior put in place during the downturn will likely remain after the recovery, leaving us with higher quality standards for the industry in the long term.
One thing that I don’t anticipate that we’ll see, at least during the downturn, is a large difference in transaction costs, primarily because as we’ve seen already, people are more willing to pay a commission when they see the value in what they are receiving. Buying or selling a home is a complex process involving the coordination of multiple parties and careful negotiations. While some people are well-suited to the FSBO task, many still find that it makes more sense to pay the transaction fees and reap the rewards in higher sales price and peace of mind. Many of the newer brokerages with more of a DIY model are already experiencing harder times than they anticipated as the sellers who need to sell and buyers still able to buy are turning to more experienced, full-service agents to meet their needs.
2. How will the business model or business practices of the title, brokerage or lending industries change in the future?
I think the lending industry in particular will see some drastic changes in the level of professionalism and experience required for loan officers. We’ve already seen movement towards higher qualifications, and I think that will continue as we move forward so that when the market recovers, there will be much more stringent qualifications to be a loan officer and the consumer will hopefully have a better idea of who they can go to for a reasonable, appropriate loan at a reasonable rate.
3. Will the industry be regulated differently in the future? If so, how?
I think as we’ve seen already, we will continue to see more strict educational guidelines, both in lending and real estate agency. This is obviously of great benefit to the consumer and helps to further “weed out” unqualified professionals who have been doing business to the detriment of the consumer. In Washington State, regulations have been changed to require more education and qualifications for loan officers, which resulted in a large percentage of presumably unqualified individuals leaving the business. The same will soon be true in the real estate agency sector in Washington, as agents will be required to complete substantially more training and held under more scrutiny by their brokers as of 2010.
It is not unlikely to expect that we will see this trend continue on a national level as a protection for the consumer as we move towards more regulation, particularly in the lending sector.
4. What must the industry do now to prepare for this new direction?
I don’t think I can overstate the importance of continuing education throughout the real estate industry. As technologies change, as the economy changes, and as the consumer’s habits and desires change, we as an industry need to be constantly on top of new information, trends, and technologies if we are to retain our value to the consumer and our success in business. The greatest preparation for the challenges that lie ahead is information, so those agents who want to be successful will be constantly working to expand their knowledge and therefore their value to the consumer.
5. What technology trends will change the industry in the future?
I think the industry will see substantial change due to Web 2.0 technologies. Blogging and social networking sites are changing the way we get and do business, and I think we’ll see an even larger impact because of these technologies in the years to come. More information available to the consumer and increased efficiency in creating and maintaining relationships with larger numbers of people means that the agents doing the bulk of the business will be the ones with extensive presences online.
If we look at what social media technology does to communication, we get a better idea of how the industry has changed and will continue to change in the future. Social media does two things: increase communication and increase transparency, both of which are drastic changes to the real estate agency business model of the past and hold the agent to a higher standard of quality than ever before.
Blogs disseminating information, social networking sites where buyers and sellers can talk to each other as well as agents, and technologies like twitter and facebook that instantly update large numbers of people are all departures from the traditional offline business model. With consumers able to better connect with each other and share reviews, advice, and specific information about their neighborhoods, they have more access to information and are likely to hold the agent to a higher standard than ever before.
Social media also gives agents better tools to communicate with the consumer through information-rich blogs, status updates via twitter, and networking using sites like facebook. Agents can connect directly with the consumer and showcase their knowledge, allowing the consumer to make an educated decision about who is the best agent for them, holding agents to a higher quality standard as more and more agents and consumers embrace the technology. Web 2.0 allows our instant-gratification culture an opportunity to find and select professionals to work with who give them the information and services they want 24/7 – a stark departure from the restricted lines of information and communication of the past
6. What skills will the real estate agent of the future require?
There are two skills in particular that agents will have to acquire in order to be successful in the future; one being marketing and the other being the strategic use of the internet and social media in particular to build business.
Any agent who wants to survive must have a deep understanding of fundamental marketing principles and understand how to apply them in today’s market. Innovative marketing is the key to success in tough times. In fact, study after study has confirmed that those who strategically increase marketing efforts during economic declines reap noticeable gains in market share over their competition. In the real estate business, that means understanding the concepts and allocating capitol towards more professional means of marketing – professional staging, professional photography, and promotional videos for listings are examples. Agents who don’t understand this aren’t likely to thrive in this market long enough to see the recovery.
Second, agents will need to have an understanding of social media and its applications to their businesses. With so many tools out there, opportunity abounds for each agent to find what works for them; whether it’s blogging, online networking on sites like facebook, or the combination of online networking with the more traditional face-to-face on sites like Biznik.com. The point is to grow your sphere, and the most cost-effective, environmentally friendly, and impactful way to do that today is online. Direct mail is seeing less and less effectiveness (and is in fact a turnoff to many people because of the large amount of waste it produces), and it doesn’t create the type or strength of relationship necessary to build a strong and thriving business in tough times. Agents need to learn how the different sites function and how to make them work as a business application so that they can develop a social media marketing system that works for them. Agents who hold fast to the traditional models such as geographic farming will find their costs rising and their return diminishing over time – not a recipe for success in a contracting market.
These shifts in the real estate business model will raise the bar for professionals in the industry, meaning that once we recover we will have a vastly improved industry. The industry and the consumer will emerge from this period of economic contraction stronger, more knowledgeable, and more capable of taking advantage of the wide array of technologies available to further their needs.
7. How will real estate advertising dollars be spent in the future? How will real estate marketing be different?
I think in the future we’ll see the shift continue from advertising dollars being spent on print to dollars being spent on advertising listings via the internet. I think we’ll see more agents purchasing paid subscriptions to sites like Trulia that include increased exposure for their listings, but more importantly I think we’ll see more dollars being spent on the services that help showcase those listings on the internet, namely professional staging, photography and videography. Internet advertising for listings comes at a very low cost when compared to traditional print advertising like classifieds and magazines, leaving the agent more money to spend where it counts: showcasing the listing.
Real estate marketing will – and must – change to a more professional model than it has had in the past. A listing agent will need to spend more of their money on professional photography and promotional videos if they want to stay competitive in an internet world. With buyers finding homes more and more on the internet, it is imperative for listing agents to do everything possible to showcase their listings, and that means more than digital pictures from their point-and-shoot camera and brief descriptions of the property. Agents who lack an understanding of key marketing concepts are already seeing a reduction in their income, and that reduction will only continue for those not embracing technology nor understanding that something valued at hundreds of thousands of dollars can’t and shouldn’t be marketed poorly if it is to sell in a highly competitive market.
Once the consumer receives a higher level of marketing and representation, this will become the norm upon market recovery. Agents would be wise to begin the transition now so as to enjoy an increased market share and profitability when the recovery does arrive.
January 15, 2009
My Ticket to Inman Connect
Posted by kirstenmohan under CommentaryLeave a Comment
Many have asked about the “Roadmap to Recovery” project I participated in that won me a pass to Inman Connect last week in New York (so much twittering about it makes it hard to spell that out instead of simply saying #icny…). It was a great conference full of interesting information and some amazing real estate folks. You know who you are – keep it up!
For those interested, below are my rather inflammatory (to some) opinions about where real estate is/should be headed. It’s rather wordy, but if you like that sort of thing, read on:
1. Imagine how the real estate industry will be different when we recover from the current downturn.
I think that when we recover, and in fact as we recover, we’ll see a return to quality after years of mediocrity being rewarded simply because of the sheer volume of transactions. This will happen primarily because a more educated consumer base will demand better service from the industry and real estate agents in particular. Advances in technology and sites such as Zillow have driven traditional real estate brokerages to share more and more information via the internet. For many years, a part of the real estate agent’s perceived value was the possession and dissemination of raw data to the consumer. That same consumer now has the opportunity to find an abundance of information online before ever contacting an agent. This movement towards more information being available and more use of the internet will gain a great deal of momentum during the downturn, as people are more and more likely to research online before making any type of decision regarding real estate purchases or sales. They’re also more likely to research their agents online, meaning that the industry will become more and more dependent on the internet to thrive. These changes in consumer attitudes and behavior put in place during the downturn will likely remain after the recovery, leaving us with higher quality standards for the industry in the long term.
One thing that I don’t anticipate that we’ll see, at least during the downturn, is a large difference in transaction costs, primarily because as we’ve seen already, people are more willing to pay a commission when they see the value in what they are receiving. Buying or selling a home is a complex process involving the coordination of multiple parties and careful negotiations. While some people are well-suited to the FSBO task, many still find that it makes more sense to pay the transaction fees and reap the rewards in higher sales price and peace of mind. Many of the newer brokerages with more of a DIY model are already experiencing harder times than they anticipated as the sellers who need to sell and buyers still able to buy are turning to more experienced, full-service agents to meet their needs.
2. How will the business model or business practices of the title, brokerage or lending industries change in the future?
I think the lending industry in particular will see some drastic changes in the level of professionalism and experience required for loan officers. We’ve already seen movement towards higher qualifications, and I think that will continue as we move forward so that when the market recovers, there will be much more stringent qualifications to be a loan officer and the consumer will hopefully have a better idea of who they can go to for a reasonable, appropriate loan at a reasonable rate.
3. Will the industry be regulated differently in the future? If so, how?
I think as we’ve seen already, we will continue to see more strict educational guidelines, both in lending and real estate agency. This is obviously of great benefit to the consumer and helps to further “weed out” unqualified professionals who have been doing business to the detriment of the consumer. In Washington State, regulations have been changed to require more education and qualifications for loan officers, which resulted in a large percentage of presumably unqualified individuals leaving the business. The same will soon be true in the real estate agency sector in Washington, as agents will be required to complete substantially more training and held under more scrutiny by their brokers as of 2010.
It is not unlikely to expect that we will see this trend continue on a national level as a protection for the consumer as we move towards more regulation, particularly in the lending sector.
4. What must the industry do now to prepare for this new direction?
I don’t think I can overstate the importance of continuing education throughout the real estate industry. As technologies change, as the economy changes, and as the consumer’s habits and desires change, we as an industry need to be constantly on top of new information, trends, and technologies if we are to retain our value to the consumer and our success in business. The greatest preparation for the challenges that lie ahead is information, so those agents who want to be successful will be constantly working to expand their knowledge and therefore their value to the consumer.
5. What technology trends will change the industry in the future?
I think the industry will see substantial change due to Web 2.0 technologies. Blogging and social networking sites are changing the way we get and do business, and I think we’ll see an even larger impact because of these technologies in the years to come. More information available to the consumer and increased efficiency in creating and maintaining relationships with larger numbers of people means that the agents doing the bulk of the business will be the ones with extensive presences online.
If we look at what social media technology does to communication, we get a better idea of how the industry has changed and will continue to change in the future. Social media does two things: increase communication and increase transparency, both of which are drastic changes to the real estate agency business model of the past and hold the agent to a higher standard of quality than ever before.
Blogs disseminating information, social networking sites where buyers and sellers can talk to each other as well as agents, and technologies like twitter and facebook that instantly update large numbers of people are all departures from the traditional offline business model. With consumers able to better connect with each other and share reviews, advice, and specific information about their neighborhoods, they have more access to information and are likely to hold the agent to a higher standard than ever before.
Social media also gives agents better tools to communicate with the consumer through information-rich blogs, status updates via twitter, and networking using sites like facebook. Agents can connect directly with the consumer and showcase their knowledge, allowing the consumer to make an educated decision about who is the best agent for them, holding agents to a higher quality standard as more and more agents and consumers embrace the technology. Web 2.0 allows our instant-gratification culture an opportunity to find and select professionals to work with who give them the information and services they want 24/7 – a stark departure from the restricted lines of information and communication of the past
6. What skills will the real estate agent of the future require?
There are two skills in particular that agents will have to acquire in order to be successful in the future; one being marketing and the other being the strategic use of the internet and social media in particular to build business.
Any agent who wants to survive must have a deep understanding of fundamental marketing principles and understand how to apply them in today’s market. Innovative marketing is the key to success in tough times. In fact, study after study has confirmed that those who strategically increase marketing efforts during economic declines reap noticeable gains in market share over their competition. In the real estate business, that means understanding the concepts and allocating capitol towards more professional means of marketing – professional staging, professional photography, and promotional videos for listings are examples. Agents who don’t understand this aren’t likely to thrive in this market long enough to see the recovery.
Second, agents will need to have an understanding of social media and its applications to their businesses. With so many tools out there, opportunity abounds for each agent to find what works for them; whether it’s blogging, online networking on sites like facebook, or the combination of online networking with the more traditional face-to-face on sites like Biznik.com. The point is to grow your sphere, and the most cost-effective, environmentally friendly, and impactful way to do that today is online. Direct mail is seeing less and less effectiveness (and is in fact a turnoff to many people because of the large amount of waste it produces), and it doesn’t create the type or strength of relationship necessary to build a strong and thriving business in tough times. Agents need to learn how the different sites function and how to make them work as a business application so that they can develop a social media marketing system that works for them. Agents who hold fast to the traditional models such as geographic farming will find their costs rising and their return diminishing over time – not a recipe for success in a contracting market.
These shifts in the real estate business model will raise the bar for professionals in the industry, meaning that once we recover we will have a vastly improved industry. The industry and the consumer will emerge from this period of economic contraction stronger, more knowledgeable, and more capable of taking advantage of the wide array of technologies available to further their needs.
7. How will real estate advertising dollars be spent in the future? How will real estate marketing be different?
I think in the future we’ll see the shift continue from advertising dollars being spent on print to dollars being spent on advertising listings via the internet. I think we’ll see more agents purchasing paid subscriptions to sites like Trulia that include increased exposure for their listings, but more importantly I think we’ll see more dollars being spent on the services that help showcase those listings on the internet, namely professional staging, photography and videography. Internet advertising for listings comes at a very low cost when compared to traditional print advertising like classifieds and magazines, leaving the agent more money to spend where it counts: showcasing the listing.
Real estate marketing will – and must – change to a more professional model than it has had in the past. A listing agent will need to spend more of their money on professional photography and promotional videos if they want to stay competitive in an internet world. With buyers finding homes more and more on the internet, it is imperative for listing agents to do everything possible to showcase their listings, and that means more than digital pictures from their point-and-shoot camera and brief descriptions of the property. Agents who lack an understanding of key marketing concepts are already seeing a reduction in their income, and that reduction will only continue for those not embracing technology nor understanding that something valued at hundreds of thousands of dollars can’t and shouldn’t be marketed poorly if it is to sell in a highly competitive market.
Once the consumer receives a higher level of marketing and representation, this will become the norm upon market recovery. Agents would be wise to begin the transition now so as to enjoy an increased market share and profitability when the recovery does arrive.